Aliyah smiled. "Short-term: strengthen remittance channels. Long-term: break the cointegration by building local savings instruments. The ECM shows you have three quarters to act before a remittance shock becomes a consumption crisis."
In Microfit 5: . She ordered: REMITTANCES → CONSUMPTION (remittances cause consumption, not vice versa). Time series econometrics using Microfit 5.pdf
Dr. Aliyah Khan was an applied econometrician—a data detective. Her latest case was the "Lagos–London Remittance Puzzle." For five years, official data showed a puzzling disconnect: Nigerian GDP was growing, but household consumption in Lagos was flatlining. The reason, she suspected, lay in the time series properties of her variables. But standard regression was like using a stethoscope on a jet engine. She needed precision. She needed memory. She needed Microfit 5 . Aliyah smiled